Modelling the impact of climate change risk on supply chain performance

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dc.contributor.authorEr Kara, Merve
dc.contributor.authorGhadge, Abhijeet
dc.contributor.authorBititci, Umit S.
dc.date.accessioned2020-09-16T09:44:21Z
dc.date.available2020-09-16T09:44:21Z
dc.date.freetoread2021-08-18
dc.date.issued2020-08-17
dc.description.abstractClimate change is among the top global risks due to its growing adverse impact on businesses. However, few empirical studies address this imminent risk from a supply chain perspective. Due to a lack of established approaches for capturing complex interaction between climate change risk and supply chain performance, a three-phase mixed methodology approach was attempted. A cognitive map first captured the inter-relationships based on a mental model established by a group of experts. Later, a survey gathered from industry practitioners assessing causal relationships identified key climate change factors and most influenced supply chain performance dimensions. Finally, a system dynamics model supported by multiple case scenarios assessed the implications of climate change on supply chain performance. The results indicated a significant reduction in the availability of natural resources/raw material and capacity, leading to increase in stock-outs, inventory costs and bottlenecks disrupting procurement, manufacturing and logistics functions. Supply chain performance captured through efficiency and effectiveness shows a negative trend with increasing climate change consequences. The systems approach followed in this paper contributes by providing a quantitative model for assessing the impact of climate change risk on supply chain performance.en_UK
dc.identifier.citationEr Kara M, Ghadge A, Bititci US. (2021) Modelling the impact of climate change risk on supply chain performance. International Journal of Production Research, Volume 59, Number 24, 2021, pp. 7317-7335en_UK
dc.identifier.cris27939968
dc.identifier.issn0020-7543
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00207543.2020.1849844
dc.identifier.urihttp://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/15805
dc.language.isoenen_UK
dc.publisherTaylor and Francisen_UK
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/*
dc.subjectSupply chain performanceen_UK
dc.subjectClimate changeen_UK
dc.subjectPerformance measurementen_UK
dc.subjectClimate risken_UK
dc.subjectUncertaintyen_UK
dc.subjectSystems theoryen_UK
dc.titleModelling the impact of climate change risk on supply chain performanceen_UK
dc.typeArticleen_UK

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