Browsing by Author "Fu, Shuai"
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Item Open Access Fusion and comparison of prognostic models for remaining useful life of aircraft systems(PHM Society, 2023-10-26) Fu, Shuai; Avdelidis, Nicolas P.; Plastropoulos, Angelos; Fan, Ip-ShingChanges in the performance of an aircraft system will straightforwardly affect the safe operation of the aircraft, and the technical requirements of Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) are highly relevant. Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction, part of the core technologies of PHM, is a cutting-edge innovation being worked on lately and an effective means to advance the change of upkeep support mode and work on the framework's security, unwavering quality, and economic reasonableness. This paper summarizes a detailed preliminary literature review and comparison of different prognostic approaches and the forecasting methods' taxonomy, the methodology's details, and provides its application to aircraft systems. It also provides a brief introduction to the predictive maintenance concept and condition-based maintenance (CBM). This article uses several predictive models to predict RUL and classifies conventional regression algorithms according to the similarity in function and form of the algorithms. More classical algorithms in each category are selected to compare the prediction results, and finally, the combined effects of the RUL prediction are obtained by weighted fusion, accuracy, and compatibility. The performance of the proposed models is assessed based on evaluations of RUL acquired from the hybrid and individual predictive models. This correlation depends on the most current prognostic metrics. The outcomes show that the proposed strategy develops precision, robustness, and adaptability. Hence, the work in this paper shall enrich the advancement of predictive maintenance and modern innovation of prognostic development.Item Open Access Novel prognostic methodology of bootstrap forest and hyperbolic tangent boosted neural network for aircraft system(MDPI, 2024-06-10) Fu, Shuai; Avdelidis, Nicolas P.Complex aviation systems’ integrity deteriorates over time due to operational factors; hence, the ability to forecast component remaining useful life (RUL) is vital to their optimal operation. Data-driven prognostic models are essential for system RUL prediction. These models benefit run-to-failure datasets the most. Thus, significant factors that could affect systematic integrity must be examined to quantify the operational component of RUL. To expand predictive approaches, the authors of this research developed a novel method for calculating the RUL of a group of aircraft engines using the N-CMAPSS dataset, which provides simulated degradation trajectories under real flight conditions. They offered bootstrap trees and hyperbolic tangent NtanH(3)Boost(20) neural networks as prognostic alternatives. The hyperbolic tangent boosted neural network uses damage propagation modelling based on earlier research and adds two accuracy levels. The suggested neural network architecture activates with the hyperbolic tangent function. This extension links the deterioration process to its operating history, improving degradation modelling. During validation, models accurately predicted observed flight cycles with 95–97% accuracy. We can use this work to combine prognostic approaches to extend the lifespan of critical aircraft systems and assist maintenance approaches in reducing operational and environmental hazards, all while maintaining normal operation. The proposed methodology yields promising results, making it suitable for adoption due to its relevance to prognostic difficulties.Item Open Access Prognostic and health management of critical aircraft systems and components: an overview(MDPI, 2023-09-27) Fu, Shuai; Avdelidis, Nicolas PeterPrognostic and health management (PHM) plays a vital role in ensuring the safety and reliability of aircraft systems. The process entails the proactive surveillance and evaluation of the state and functional effectiveness of crucial subsystems. The principal aim of PHM is to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of subsystems and proactively mitigate future breakdowns in order to minimize consequences. The achievement of this objective is helped by employing predictive modeling techniques and doing real-time data analysis. The incorporation of prognostic methodologies is of utmost importance in the execution of condition-based maintenance (CBM), a strategic approach that emphasizes the prioritization of repairing components that have experienced quantifiable damage. Multiple methodologies are employed to support the advancement of prognostics for aviation systems, encompassing physics-based modeling, data-driven techniques, and hybrid prognosis. These methodologies enable the prediction and mitigation of failures by identifying relevant health indicators. Despite the promising outcomes in the aviation sector pertaining to the implementation of PHM, there exists a deficiency in the research concerning the efficient integration of hybrid PHM applications. The primary aim of this paper is to provide a thorough analysis of the current state of research advancements in prognostics for aircraft systems, with a specific focus on prominent algorithms and their practical applications and challenges. The paper concludes by providing a detailed analysis of prospective directions for future research within the field.Item Open Access A prognostic approach to improve system reliability for aircraft system(IEEE, 2023-01-08) Fu, Shuai; Avdelidis, Nicolas P.; Jennions, Ian K.The primary aims of prognostics encompass the timely detection of potential failures, mitigation or elimination of unscheduled maintenance, prediction of the most suitable timing for preventive maintenance replacement, optimization of maintenance cycles and operational readiness, and enhancement of system reliability by improving design and logistical support for existing systems. In order to facilitate the progress of these approaches, currently available datasets provide a unique and reliable compilation of flight-to-failure trajectories linked to small aircraft engines that have been observed in actual flight conditions. Furthermore, the paper offered an improved neural network that utilized the TanH hyperbolic tangent function. This neural network was enhanced later by integrating it with the TanH, linear, and Gaussian functions. Additionally, a random holdback validation approach was employed in the paper. The results suggest that the NN TanH technique, when implemented, has the potential to significantly enhance the reliability of an aircraft component. This is achieved through accurate estimates of the remaining useful life (RUL) and a proactive understanding of the failure system.