Visualisation of ripple effect in supply chains under long-term, simultaneous disruptions: a system dynamics approach

Simple item page
dc.contributor.authorGhadge, Abhijeet
dc.contributor.authorEr, Merve
dc.contributor.authorIvanov, Dmitry
dc.contributor.authorChaudhuri, Atanu
dc.date.accessioned2021-11-16T14:27:24Z
dc.date.available2021-11-16T14:27:24Z
dc.date.issued2021-10-26
dc.description.abstractSupply chains (SCs) are exposed to multiple risks and vulnerable to disruption propagation (i.e. the ripple effect). Despite established literature, quantitative analysis of the ripple effect in SCs considering simultaneous, long-term disruptions (i.e. induced by the COVID-19 pandemic) remains limited. This study defines, applies and demonstrates the capability of system dynamics modelling to recognise and visualise the ripple effect subject to supply, demand, and logistics disruptions as well as a combined, simultaneous disruption of supply, demand and logistics. Simulation results for these four risk scenarios indicate that disruption propagation and its impacts vary based on risk type, combination of risks and the impacting node. The bi-directional, increasing effect is significant for disruptions of longer duration. Retailers and manufacturers are most fragile to multiple disruptions due to broader risk exposure points. In generalised terms, systems theory-based study provides insights into the complex behaviour of simultaneous risks and associated disruptions occurring at a node and across the SC. The outcomes derived can help practitioners visualise and recognise the dynamic nature of the ripple effect cascading across the SC network. In addition, some novel insights on the systemic nature and delayed impact of disruption propagations are uncovered and discussed.en_UK
dc.identifier.citationGhadge A, Er M, Ivanov D, Chaudhuri A. (2021) Visualisation of ripple effect in supply chains under long-term, simultaneous disruptions: A system dynamics approach. International Journal of Production Research, Volume 60, Issue 20, 2022, pp. 6173–6186en_UK
dc.identifier.issn0020-7543
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1080/00207543.2021.1987547
dc.identifier.urihttp://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/17269
dc.language.isoenen_UK
dc.publisherTaylor and Francisen_UK
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/*
dc.subjectSupply chain risk managementen_UK
dc.subjectripple effecten_UK
dc.subjectrisk propagationen_UK
dc.subjectdisruption propagationen_UK
dc.subjectrisk modellingen_UK
dc.subjectsystem dynamicsen_UK
dc.titleVisualisation of ripple effect in supply chains under long-term, simultaneous disruptions: a system dynamics approachen_UK
dc.typeArticleen_UK

Files

Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Thumbnail Image
Name:
Visualisation_of_ripple_effect_in_supply_chains-2021.pdf
Size:
2.99 MB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Description:
Download
License bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
No Thumbnail Available
Name:
license.txt
Size:
1.63 KB
Format:
Item-specific license agreed upon to submission
Description:
Download

Collections

Staff publications (SoM)