Influence of abiotic factors on kinetics of viable populations of biocontrol agents in the phyllosphere of lettuce and strawberry leaves

There is little information on the effect of temperature, relative humidity (RH) and vapour pressure deficit (VPD) on the viable populations of two commercial biocontrol strains, Bacillus subtilis QST 713 (recently classified as B. velezensis) and Gliocladium catenulatum J1446 (syn. Clonostachys rosea). The PMAxx-qPCR molecular assay was used to quantify the viable biocontrol agent (BCA) populations on fully extended lettuce and strawberry leaves under a range of temperature and RH combinations. Overall, there was a small decline in the population size of viable cells for the two biocontrol organisms on strawberry and lettuce leaves within 10 days of application. However, for most experimental runs, which contained general UK agronomy climates, such a decline was not statistically significant. Moreover, for a few runs, the viable populations increased significantly in optimal BCA growth temperatures with high RH. Only temperature (ambient) and dew point significantly affected the rate of temporal changes in the viable biocontrol population size. Thus, an increasing temperature led to decreased daily mortality. It should be noted that much of the variability in the estimated daily mortality rates remains unaccounted for, thus unless under extreme conditions, the biocontrol efficacy in practice is less likely to be affected by the survival of biocontrol microbes but more likely by other factors that influence the density of biocontrol cells in the phyllosphere, especially dilution due to rapid host leaf expansion, spray coverage and rain wash-off.