Key challenges and priorities for modelling European grasslands under climate change

dc.contributor.authorKipling, Richard P.
dc.contributor.authorVirkajarvi, Perttu
dc.contributor.authorBreitsameter, Laura
dc.contributor.authorCurnel, Yannick
dc.contributor.authorDe Swaef, Tom
dc.contributor.authorGustavsson, Anne-Maj
dc.contributor.authorHennart, Sylvain
dc.contributor.authorHoglind, Mats
dc.contributor.authorJarvenranta, Kirsi
dc.contributor.authorMinet, Julien
dc.contributor.authorNendel, Claas
dc.contributor.authorPersson, Tomas
dc.contributor.authorPicon-Cochard, Catherine
dc.contributor.authorRolinski, Susanne
dc.contributor.authorSandars, Daniel L.
dc.contributor.authorScollan, Nigel D.
dc.contributor.authorSebek, Leon
dc.contributor.authorSeddaiu, Giovanna
dc.contributor.authorTopp, Cairistiona F. E.
dc.contributor.authorTwardy, Stanislaw
dc.contributor.authorvan Middelkoop, Jantine
dc.contributor.authorWu, Lianhai
dc.contributor.authorBellocchi, Gianni
dc.date.accessioned2016-07-06T10:15:42Z
dc.date.available2016-07-06T10:15:42Z
dc.date.issued2016-05-19
dc.description.abstractGrassland-based ruminant production systems are integral to sustainable food production in Europe, converting plant materials indigestible to humans into nutritious food, while providing a range of environmental and cultural benefits. Climate change poses significant challenges for such systems, their productivity and the wider benefits they supply. In this context, grassland models have an important role in predicting and understanding the impacts of climate change on grassland systems, and assessing the efficacy of potential adaptation and mitigation strategies. In order to identify the key challenges for European grassland modelling under climate change, modellers and researchers from across Europe were consulted via workshop and questionnaire. Participants identified fifteen challenges and considered the current state of modelling and priorities for future research in relation to each. A review of literature was undertaken to corroborate and enrich the information provided during the horizon scanning activities. Challenges were in four categories relating to: 1) the direct and indirect effects of climate change on the sward 2) climate change effects on grassland systems outputs 3) mediation of climate change impacts by site, system and management and 4) cross-cutting methodological issues. While research priorities differed between challenges, an underlying theme was the need for accessible, shared inventories of models, approaches and data, as a resource for stakeholders and to stimulate new research. Developing grassland models to effectively support efforts to tackle climate change impacts, while increasing productivity and enhancing ecosystem services, will require engagement with stakeholders and policy-makers, as well as modellers and experimental researchers across many disciplines. The challenges and priorities identified are intended to be a resource 1) for grassland modellers and experimental researchers, to stimulate the development of new research directions and collaborative opportunities, and 2) for policy-makers involved in shaping the research agenda for European grassland modelling under climate change.en_UK
dc.identifier.citationRichard P. Kipling, Perttu Virkajärvi, Laura Breitsameter, et al., Key challenges and priorities for modelling European grasslands under climate change. Science of The Total Environment, Volumes 566–567, 1 October 2016, Pages 851-864en_UK
dc.identifier.issn0048-9697
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.05.144
dc.identifier.urihttp://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/10095
dc.language.isoenen_UK
dc.publisherElsevieren_UK
dc.rightsAttribution-Non-Commercial-No Derivatives 3.0 Unported (CC BY-NC-ND 3.0). You are free to: Share — copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format. The licensor cannot revoke these freedoms as long as you follow the license terms. Under the following terms: Attribution — You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use. Information: Non-Commercial — You may not use the material for commercial purposes. No Derivatives — If you remix, transform, or build upon the material, you may not distribute the modified material. No additional restrictions — You may not apply legal terms or technological measures that legally restrict others from doing anything the license permits.en_UK
dc.subjectClimate changeen_UK
dc.subjectGrasslandsen_UK
dc.subjectHorizon scanningen_UK
dc.subjectLivestock productionen_UK
dc.subjectModelsen_UK
dc.subjectResearch agendaen_UK
dc.titleKey challenges and priorities for modelling European grasslands under climate changeen_UK
dc.typeArticleen_UK

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