UK Foot and Mouth disease: a systemic risk assessment of existing controls

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dc.contributor.authorPollard, Simon J. T.
dc.contributor.authorPrpich, George
dc.contributor.authorLonghurst, Philip J.
dc.date.accessioned2017-02-17T16:42:48Z
dc.date.available2017-02-17T16:42:48Z
dc.date.issued2016-11-10
dc.description.abstractThis article details a systemic analysis of the controls in place and possible interventions available to further reduce the risk of a foot and mouth disease (FMD) outbreak in the United Kingdom. Using a research-based network analysis tool, we identify vulnerabilities within the multibarrier control system and their corresponding critical control points (CCPs). CCPs represent opportunities for active intervention that produce the greatest improvement to United Kingdom's resilience to future FMD outbreaks. Using an adapted ‘features, events, and processes’ (FEPs) methodology and network analysis, our results suggest that movements of animals and goods associated with legal activities significantly influence the system's behavior due to their higher frequency and ability to combine and create scenarios of exposure similar in origin to the U.K. FMD outbreaks of 1967/8 and 2001. The systemic risk assessment highlights areas outside of disease control that are relevant to disease spread. Further, it proves to be a powerful tool for demonstrating the need for implementing disease controls that have not previously been part of the system.en_UK
dc.identifier.citationDelgado J, Pollard S, Pearn K, et al., U.K. Foot and Mouth disease: a systemic risk assessment of existing controls. Risk Analysis, Volume 37, Issue 9, September 2017, pp. 1768-1782en_UK
dc.identifier.cris18927758
dc.identifier.issn1539-6924
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1111/risa.12704
dc.identifier.urihttp://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/11464
dc.language.isoenen_UK
dc.publisherWileyen_UK
dc.rightsAttribution 4.0 International
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectDiseaseen_UK
dc.subjectFMDen_UK
dc.subjectFooten_UK
dc.subjectMouthen_UK
dc.subjectNetworken_UK
dc.subjectRisken_UK
dc.subjectSystemicen_UK
dc.titleUK Foot and Mouth disease: a systemic risk assessment of existing controlsen_UK
dc.typeArticleen_UK

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