A protocol to develop shared socio-economic pathways for European agriculture

dc.contributor.authorMitter, Hermine
dc.contributor.authorTechen, Anja-K.
dc.contributor.authorSinabell, Franz
dc.contributor.authorHelming, Katharina
dc.contributor.authorKok, Kasper
dc.contributor.authorPriess, Jörg A.
dc.contributor.authorSchmid, Erwin
dc.contributor.authorBodirsky, Benjamin L.
dc.contributor.authorHolman, Ian P.
dc.contributor.authorLehtonen, Heikki
dc.contributor.authorLeip, Adrian
dc.contributor.authorLe Mouël, Chantal
dc.contributor.authorMathijs, Erik
dc.contributor.authorMehdi, Bano
dc.contributor.authorMichetti, Melania
dc.contributor.authorMittenzwei, Klaus
dc.contributor.authorMora, Olivier
dc.contributor.authorØygarden, Lillian
dc.contributor.authorSchönhart, Martin
dc.contributor.authorReidsma, Pytrik
dc.contributor.authorSchaldach, Rüdiger
dc.date.accessioned2019-11-27T12:09:26Z
dc.date.available2019-11-27T12:09:26Z
dc.date.issued2019-10-16
dc.description.abstractMoving towards a more sustainable future requires concerted actions, particularly in the context of global climate change. Integrated assessments of agricultural systems (IAAS) are considered valuable tools to provide sound information for policy and decision-making. IAAS use storylines to define socio-economic and environmental framework assumptions. While a set of qualitative global storylines, known as the Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs), is available to inform integrated assessments at large scales, their spatial resolution and scope is insufficient for regional studies in agriculture. We present a protocol to operationalize the development of Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture – Eur-Agri-SSPs – to support IAAS. The proposed design of the storyline development process is based on six quality criteria: plausibility, vertical and horizontal consistency, salience, legitimacy, richness and creativity. Trade-offs between these criteria may occur. The process is science-driven and iterative to enhance plausibility and horizontal consistency. A nested approach is suggested to link storylines across scales while maintaining vertical consistency. Plausibility, legitimacy, salience, richness and creativity shall be stimulated in a participatory and interdisciplinary storyline development process. The quality criteria and process design requirements are combined in the protocol to increase conceptual and methodological transparency. The protocol specifies nine working steps. For each step, suitable methods are proposed and the intended level and format of stakeholder engagement are discussed. A key methodological challenge is to link global SSPs with regional perspectives provided by the stakeholders, while maintaining vertical consistency and stakeholder buy-in. We conclude that the protocol facilitates systematic development and evaluation of storylines, which can be transferred to other regions, sectors and scales and supports inter-comparisons of IAAS.en_UK
dc.identifier.citationMitter H, Techen AK, Sinabell F, et al., (2019) A protocol to develop shared socio-economic pathways for European agriculture. Journal of Environmental Management, Volume 252, December 2019, Article number 109701en_UK
dc.identifier.issn0301-4797
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109701
dc.identifier.urihttp://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/14773
dc.language.isoenen_UK
dc.publisherElsevieren_UK
dc.rightsAttribution 4.0 International*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/*
dc.subjectEur-Agri-SSPen_UK
dc.subjectConsistent storylinesen_UK
dc.subjectNarrativeen_UK
dc.subjectIntegrated assessmenten_UK
dc.subjectSocial environmental systemen_UK
dc.subjectClimate changeen_UK
dc.titleA protocol to develop shared socio-economic pathways for European agricultureen_UK
dc.typeArticleen_UK

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