A systems approach to the policy-level risk assessment of exotic animal diseases: network model and application to classical swine fever.
| dc.contributor.author | Delgado, Joao Pedro Correa | - |
| dc.contributor.author | Pollard, Simon J. T. | - |
| dc.contributor.author | Snary, E. L. | - |
| dc.contributor.author | Black, Edgar | - |
| dc.contributor.author | Prpich, George | - |
| dc.contributor.author | Longhurst, Philip J. | - |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2014-09-02T04:01:34Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2014-09-02T04:01:34Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2013-08-31T00:00:00Z | - |
| dc.description.abstract | Exotic animal diseases (EADs) are characterized by their capacity to spread global distances, causing impacts on animal health and welfare with significant economic consequences. We offer a critique of current import risk analysis approaches employed in the EAD field, focusing on their capacity to assess complex systems at a policy level. To address the shortcomings identified, we propose a novel method providing a systematic analysis of the likelihood of a disease incursion, developed by reference to the multibarrier system employed for the United Kingdom. We apply the network model to a policy-level risk assessment of classical swine fever (CSF), a notifiable animal disease caused by the CSF virus. In doing so, we document and discuss a sequence of analyses that describe system vulnerabilities and reveal the critical control points (CCPs) for intervention, reducing the likelihood of U.K. pig herds being exposed to the CSF virus. | en_UK |
| dc.identifier.citation | João Delgado, Simon Pollard, Emma Snary, Edgar Black, George Prpich and Phil Longhurst, A systems approach to the policy-level risk assessment of exotic animal diseases: network model and application to classical swine fever, Risk Analysis, Volume 33, Issue 8, Pages 1454–1472, August 2013. | |
| dc.identifier.issn | 0272-4332 | - |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01934.x | - |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/8665 | |
| dc.publisher | Blackwell Publishing Ltd | en_UK |
| dc.rights | The definitive version is available at www3.interscience.wiley.com | |
| dc.subject | Analysis, classical swine fever, exotic animal disease, import, network, risk, system | en_UK |
| dc.title | A systems approach to the policy-level risk assessment of exotic animal diseases: network model and application to classical swine fever. | en_UK |
| dc.type | Article | - |