Deep‐learning‐based vehicle trajectory prediction: a review

Date published

2025-01-01

Free to read from

2025-02-24

Supervisor/s

Journal Title

Journal ISSN

Volume Title

Publisher

Institution of Engineering and Technology (IET)

Department

Type

Article

ISSN

1751-956X

Format

Citation

Yin C, Cecotti M, Auger DJ, et al., (2025) Deep‐learning‐based vehicle trajectory prediction: a review. IET Intelligent Transport Systems, Volume 19, 2025, Article number e70001

Abstract

Vehicle trajectory prediction enables autonomous vehicles to better reason about fast‐changing driving scenarios and thus perform well‐informed decision‐making tasks. Among different prediction approaches, deep learning‐based (DL‐based) methodologies stand out because of their capabilities to efficiently summarise historical data, infer nonlinear behavioural patterns from human driving data, and perform long‐horizon prediction. This work reviews the DL‐based methods that have shown promising results, organising them in terms of usage of the input data, separating the encodings of the target vehicle's historical data, surrounding vehicle's historical data, and road layout data. In particular, this paper explores the relationships between the scope of the prediction components and the input data formats, as well as the connections with other elements in the same prediction framework, including vehicle interaction and road scene mining. This information is crucial to understand complex architectural decisions and to provide guidance for the design of improved solutions. This work also compares the performance of the most successful prediction models, establishing that appropriate encodings of vehicle interactions and road scenes improve trajectory prediction accuracy, with the best performance achieved by attention mechanism and Transformer‐based models. Finally, this work discusses future research directions, including considerations for real‐time applications.

Description

Software Description

Software Language

Github

Keywords

artificial intelligence, autonomous driving, intelligent transportation systems, motion estimation, transportation, 4005 Civil Engineering, 40 Engineering, Networking and Information Technology R&D (NITRD), Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence, Logistics & Transportation, 4008 Electrical engineering

DOI

Rights

Attribution 4.0 International

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Relationships

Resources

Funder/s

China Scholarship Council
This work was supported in part by the China Scholarship Council under Grant No. 202108690001 and the Graduate Research and Innovation Projects of Jiangsu Province under Grant KYCX21_3334.