Projected changes in mineral soil carbon of European forests, 1990–2100

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dc.contributor.authorSmith, Pete
dc.contributor.authorSmith, Jo
dc.contributor.authorWattenbach, Martin
dc.contributor.authorMeyer, Jeannette
dc.contributor.authorLindner, Marcus
dc.contributor.authorZaehle, Sönke
dc.contributor.authorHiederer, Roland
dc.contributor.authorJones, Robert J. A.
dc.contributor.authorMontanarella, Luca
dc.contributor.authorRounsevell, Mark
dc.contributor.authorReginster, Isabelle
dc.contributor.authorKankaanpää, Susanna
dc.date.accessioned2012-09-11T09:40:39Z
dc.date.available2012-09-11T09:40:39Z
dc.date.issued2006
dc.description.abstractForests are a major land use in Europe, and European forest soils contain about the same amount of carbon as is found in tree biomass. Changes in the size of the forest soil carbon pool could have significant impacts on the European carbon budget. We present the first assessment of future changes in European forest soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks using a dedicated process-based SOC model and state-of-the-art databases of driving variables. Soil carbon change was calculated for Europe using the Rothamsted Carbon model using climate data from four climate models, forced by four Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarios (SRES). Changes in litter input to the soil due to forest management, projected changes in net primary production (NPP), forest age-class structure, and changes in forest area were taken into account. Results are presented for mineral soil only. Under some climate scenarios carbon in forest soils will increase slightly (0.1 to 4.6 Pg) in Europe over the 21st Century, whilst for one scenario, forest SOC stocks are predicted to decrease by 0.3 Pg. Different trends are seen in different regions. Climate change will tend to speed decomposition, whereas increases in litter input due to increasing NPP and changing age-class structure will slow the loss of SOC. Increases in forest area could further enhance the total soil carbon stock of European forests. Whilst climate change will be a key driver of change in forest soil carbon, changes in ageclass structure and land-use change are estimated to have greater effects.en_UK
dc.identifier.citationSmith P, Smith J, Wattenbach M, et al., (2006) Projected changes in mineral soil carbon of European forests, 1990–2100. Canadian Journal of Soil Science, Volume 86: Special Issue, March 2006, pp. 159-169en_UK
dc.identifier.issn1918-1841
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.4141/S05-078
dc.identifier.urihttp://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/7557
dc.language.isoenen_UK
dc.publisherAgricultural Institute of Canadaen_UK
dc.subjectSoil organic carbonen_UK
dc.subjectEuropeen_UK
dc.subjectclimate changeen_UK
dc.subjectforest managementen_UK
dc.subjectland-use changeen_UK
dc.subjectRothamsted Carbon modelen_UK
dc.subjectEFISCEN modelen_UK
dc.subjectLPJ modelen_UK
dc.titleProjected changes in mineral soil carbon of European forests, 1990–2100en_UK
dc.typeArticleen_UK

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