An interactive framework to facilitate probabilistic set-based multidisciplinary design optimisation studies

The upcoming stringent environmental aircraft regulations and the environmental, social and governance (ESG) framework targeting net zero emissions has forced aircraft manufacturers to seek innovative feasible technical solutions. Often, there is the need to consider entirely radical solutions, such as hybrid-electric aircraft, which are not fully understood when compared with conventional kerosene driven aircraft. The recent development of a probabilistic set-based multidisciplinary optimisation methodology has demonstrated the ability to explore trade-offs when the requirements are uncertain. In this way, the weaknesses and potential to enable the feasibility of hybrid-electric aircraft can be studied from a systems perspective but maintaining the connection with more detailed trade-off studies of components of the sub-systems. We have developed an interactive interface, where the user is guided through the steps of the design methodology and the produced data is visualised to aid an informative decision-making process. In our illustrative case study, decision-makers are enabled to interactively explore the hybrid-electric propulsion design space while considering the impact to the figures of merit from expected improvements in the coming years of key enabling technologies, such as energy storage.