Challenges and priorities for modelling livestock health and pathogens in the context of climate change

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dc.contributor.authorOzkan, S.
dc.contributor.authorVitali, Andrea
dc.contributor.authorLacetera, N.
dc.contributor.authorAmon, B.
dc.contributor.authorBannik, A.
dc.contributor.authorBartley, D.J.
dc.contributor.authorBlanco-Penedo, I.
dc.contributor.authorde Haas, Y.
dc.contributor.authorDufrasne, I.
dc.contributor.authorElliott, J.
dc.contributor.authorEory, V.
dc.contributor.authorFox, N. J.
dc.contributor.authorGarnsworthy, P. C.
dc.contributor.authorGengler, N.
dc.contributor.authorHammami, H.
dc.contributor.authorKyriazakis, I.
dc.contributor.authorLeclère, D.
dc.contributor.authorLessire, F.
dc.contributor.authorMacleod, M.
dc.contributor.authorRobinson, T. P.
dc.contributor.authorRuete, A.
dc.contributor.authorSandars, Daniel L.
dc.contributor.authorShrestha, S.
dc.contributor.authorStott, A. W.
dc.contributor.authorTwardy, S.
dc.contributor.authorVanrobays, M. L.
dc.contributor.authorVosough Ahmadi, B.
dc.contributor.authorWeindl, I.
dc.contributor.authorWheelhouse, N.
dc.contributor.authorWilliams, A. G.
dc.contributor.authorWilliams, H. W.
dc.contributor.authorWilson, A. J.
dc.contributor.authorøstergaard, S.
dc.contributor.authorKipling, Richard P.
dc.date.accessioned2016-10-31T15:41:36Z
dc.date.available2016-10-31T15:41:36Z
dc.date.issued2016-07-29
dc.description.abstractClimate change has the potential to impair livestock health, with consequences for animal welfare, productivity, greenhouse gas emissions, and human livelihoods and health. Modelling has an important role in assessing the impacts of climate change on livestock systems and the efficacy of potential adaptation strategies, to support decision making for more efficient, resilient and sustainable production. However, a coherent set of challenges and research priorities for modelling livestock health and pathogens under climate change has not previously been available. To identify such challenges and priorities, researchers from across Europe were engaged in a horizon-scanning study, involving workshop and questionnaire based exercises and focussed literature reviews. Eighteen key challenges were identified and grouped into six categories based on subject-specific and capacity building requirements. Across a number of challenges, the need for inventories relating model types to different applications (e.g. the pathogen species, region, scale of focus and purpose to which they can be applied) was identified, in order to identify gaps in capability in relation to the impacts of climate change on animal health. The need for collaboration and learning across disciplines was highlighted in several challenges, e.g. to better understand and model complex ecological interactions between pathogens, vectors, wildlife hosts and livestock in the context of climate change. Collaboration between socio-economic and biophysical disciplines was seen as important for better engagement with stakeholders and for improved modelling of the costs and benefits of poor livestock health. The need for more comprehensive validation of empirical relationships, for harmonising terminology and measurements, and for building capacity for under-researched nations, systems and health problems indicated the importance of joined up approaches across nations. The challenges and priorities identified can help focus the development of modelling capacity and future research structures in this vital field. Well-funded networks capable of managing the long-term development of shared resources are required in order to create a cohesive modelling community equipped to tackle the complex challenges of climate change.en_UK
dc.identifier.citationOzkan S, Vitali A, Lacetera N et al. Challenges and priorities for modelling livestock health and pathogens in the context of climate change, Environmental Research, Volume 151, November 2016, Pages 130 – 144.en_UK
dc.identifier.issn0013-9351
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2016.07.033
dc.identifier.urihttp://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/10913
dc.language.isoenen_UK
dc.publisherElsevieren_UK
dc.rightsAttribution-Non-Commercial-No Derivatives 3.0 Unported (CC BY-NC-ND 3.0). You are free to: Share — copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format. The licensor cannot revoke these freedoms as long as you follow the license terms. Under the following terms: Attribution — You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use. Information: Non-Commercial — You may not use the material for commercial purposes. No Derivatives — If you remix, transform, or build upon the material, you may not distribute the modified material. No additional restrictions — You may not apply legal terms or technological measures that legally restrict others from doing anything the license permits.
dc.subjectAnimal healthen_UK
dc.subjectClimate changeen_UK
dc.subjectGreenhouse gas emissionsen_UK
dc.subjectPathogensen_UK
dc.subjectModellingen_UK
dc.titleChallenges and priorities for modelling livestock health and pathogens in the context of climate changeen_UK
dc.typeArticle (Literature review, Editorial)en_UK

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