Novel prognostic methodology of bootstrap forest and hyperbolic tangent boosted neural network for aircraft system

dc.contributor.authorFu, Shuai
dc.contributor.authorAvdelidis, Nicolas P.
dc.date.accessioned2024-06-21T12:38:15Z
dc.date.available2024-06-21T12:38:15Z
dc.date.issued2024-06-10
dc.description.abstractComplex aviation systems’ integrity deteriorates over time due to operational factors; hence, the ability to forecast component remaining useful life (RUL) is vital to their optimal operation. Data-driven prognostic models are essential for system RUL prediction. These models benefit run-to-failure datasets the most. Thus, significant factors that could affect systematic integrity must be examined to quantify the operational component of RUL. To expand predictive approaches, the authors of this research developed a novel method for calculating the RUL of a group of aircraft engines using the N-CMAPSS dataset, which provides simulated degradation trajectories under real flight conditions. They offered bootstrap trees and hyperbolic tangent NtanH(3)Boost(20) neural networks as prognostic alternatives. The hyperbolic tangent boosted neural network uses damage propagation modelling based on earlier research and adds two accuracy levels. The suggested neural network architecture activates with the hyperbolic tangent function. This extension links the deterioration process to its operating history, improving degradation modelling. During validation, models accurately predicted observed flight cycles with 95–97% accuracy. We can use this work to combine prognostic approaches to extend the lifespan of critical aircraft systems and assist maintenance approaches in reducing operational and environmental hazards, all while maintaining normal operation. The proposed methodology yields promising results, making it suitable for adoption due to its relevance to prognostic difficulties.en_UK
dc.description.sponsorshipThis research has received funding from the European Commission under the Marie Skłodowska Curie program through the H2020 ETN MOIRA project (GA 955681).en_UK
dc.identifier.citationFu S, Avdelidis NP. (2024) Novel prognostic methodology of bootstrap forest and hyperbolic tangent boosted neural network for aircraft system. Applied Sciences, Volume 14, Issue 12, June 2024, Article number 5057en_UK
dc.identifier.issn2076-3417
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.3390/app14125057
dc.identifier.urihttps://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/22547
dc.language.isoen_UKen_UK
dc.publisherMDPIen_UK
dc.rightsAttribution 4.0 International*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/*
dc.subjectprognostic and health managementen_UK
dc.subjectneural networken_UK
dc.subjectremaining useful lifeen_UK
dc.subjectaircraft systemsen_UK
dc.subjectbootstrap foresten_UK
dc.titleNovel prognostic methodology of bootstrap forest and hyperbolic tangent boosted neural network for aircraft systemen_UK
dc.typeArticleen_UK
dcterms.dateAccepted2024-06-04

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