To what extent is climate change adaptation a novel challenge for agricultural modellers?

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dc.contributor.authorKipling, Richard P.
dc.contributor.authorTopp, Cairistiona F. E.
dc.contributor.authorBannink, André D.
dc.contributor.authorBartley, David J.
dc.contributor.authorBlanco-Penedo, Isabel
dc.contributor.authorCortignani, Raffaele
dc.contributor.authordel Prado, Agustín
dc.contributor.authorDono, Gabriele
dc.contributor.authorFaverdin, Philippe
dc.contributor.authorGraux, Anne Isabelle
dc.contributor.authorHutchings, Nicholas J.
dc.contributor.authorLauwers, Ludwig
dc.contributor.authorÖzkan Gülzari, Şeyda
dc.contributor.authorReidsma, Pytrik
dc.contributor.authorRolinski, Susanne
dc.contributor.authorRuiz-Ramos, Margarita
dc.contributor.authorSandars, Daniel L.
dc.contributor.authorSandor, Renata
dc.contributor.authorSchönhart, Martin
dc.contributor.authorSeddaiu, Giovanna
dc.contributor.authorvan Middelkoop, Jantine C.
dc.contributor.authorShrestha, Shailesh S.
dc.contributor.authorWeindl, Isabelle
dc.contributor.authorEory, Vera
dc.date.accessioned2019-08-23T09:14:46Z
dc.date.available2019-08-23T09:14:46Z
dc.date.issued2019-07-29
dc.description.abstractModelling is key to adapting agriculture to climate change (CC), facilitating evaluation of the impacts and efficacy of adaptation measures, and the design of optimal strategies. Although there are many challenges to modelling agricultural CC adaptation, it is unclear whether these are novel or, whether adaptation merely adds new motivations to old challenges. Here, qualitative analysis of modellers’ views revealed three categories of challenge: Content, Use, and Capacity. Triangulation of findings with reviews of agricultural modelling and Climate Change Risk Assessment was then used to highlight challenges specific to modelling adaptation. These were refined through literature review, focussing attention on how the progressive nature of CC affects the role and impact of modelling. Specific challenges identified were: Scope of adaptations modelled, Information on future adaptation, Collaboration to tackle novel challenges, Optimisation under progressive change with thresholds, and Responsibility given the sensitivity of future outcomes to initial choices under progressive change.en_UK
dc.identifier.citationKipling RP, Topp CF, Bannink A, et al., To what extent is climate change adaptation a novel challenge for agricultural modellers?. Environmental Modelling and Software, Volume 120, October 2019, Article number 104492en_UK
dc.identifier.issn1364-8152
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.104492
dc.identifier.urihttp://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/14462
dc.language.isoenen_UK
dc.publisherElsevieren_UK
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/*
dc.subjectAdaptationen_UK
dc.subjectAgricultural modellingen_UK
dc.subjectClimate changeen_UK
dc.subjectResearch challengesen_UK
dc.titleTo what extent is climate change adaptation a novel challenge for agricultural modellers?en_UK
dc.typeArticleen_UK

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