An enhanced deep autoencoder for flight delay prediction

dc.contributor.authorBisandu, Desmond B.
dc.contributor.authorSoviani-Sitoiu, Dan Andrei
dc.contributor.authorMoulitsas, Irene
dc.date.accessioned2024-08-30T14:30:31Z
dc.date.available2024-08-30T14:30:31Z
dc.date.freetoread2024-08-30
dc.date.issued2024-08-01
dc.date.pubOnline2024-07-31
dc.description.abstractAccurate and timely flight delay prediction cannot be overemphasized because of the ever-increasing demand for air travel and its importance in deploying intelligent transportation systems. Nonetheless, there has not been a universal solution to the problem, as more intelligent flight decision systems are required for the aviation industry’s future growth. Existing flight delay classification and prediction approaches are mainly shallow traffic models and do not satisfy many applications in the real world. Our motivation to rethink the deep architecture model for predicting flight delays emanates from the problem. In this research, we proposed a technique that modified stacked autoencoder architecture parameters for training the network and understanding the link between space, time and information gained from the flight on-time data. We developed three different types of autoencoders based on the architecture of the modified stacked autoencoder. The models learn the generic flight delay features, and it’s trained greedily in a layer-wise fashion. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time these performances of vanilla autoencoder, logistic regression autoencoder and Multilayer perceptron for classification were evaluated based on the developed modified stacked autoencoder architecture. Moreover, our experiment demonstrates that the models achieved varying levels of accuracy in the flight delay classifications task. The deep vanilla autoencoder shows superior accuracy, recall and precision performance compared to logistic regression autoencoder and Multilayer perceptron autoencoders at different parameter settings.
dc.description.journalNameJournal of Aviation/Aerospace Education and Research
dc.description.sponsorshipThe Petroleum Trust Development Fund (PTDF) Nigeria partially funded this work through grant number PTDF/ED/OSS/PHD/DBB/1558/19 for one of the first author’s Ph.D. studies.
dc.description.sponsorshipWe also thank the UKRI for the COVID-19 recovery grant under the budget code SA077N
dc.description.sponsorshipThis research was heavily affected by the COVID-19 pan- demic during the first authors’ Ph.D. studies. This led to an extension to registration for 3 months, which was funded by the UKRI doctoral extension recovery grant.
dc.identifier.citationBisandu DB, Soviani-Sitoiu DA, Moulitsas I. (2024) An enhanced deep autoencoder for flight delay prediction. Journal of Aviation/Aerospace Education and Research, Volume 33, Issue 4, August 2024, Article number 9
dc.identifier.editionNoSpecial Issue: Artificial Intelligence in Aviation
dc.identifier.eissn2329-258X
dc.identifier.elementsID549216
dc.identifier.issn1065-1136
dc.identifier.issueNo4
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.58940/2329-258x.2056
dc.identifier.urihttps://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/22824
dc.identifier.volumeNo33
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherEmbry-Riddle Aeronautical University
dc.publisher.urihttps://commons.erau.edu/jaaer/vol33/iss4/9/
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
dc.subjectAutoencoder, Deep Learning, Flight Delay Prediction, Machine Learning, Flight OnTime Dataset
dc.titleAn enhanced deep autoencoder for flight delay prediction
dc.typeArticle
dc.type.subtypeArticle
dcterms.coverageUnited States of America
dcterms.dateAccepted2023-04-11

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