Citation:
Keith J. Mason, F. Alamdari, EU network carriers, low cost carriers and consumer behaviour: A Delphi study of future trends, Journal of Air Transport Management, Volume 13, Issue 5, The Air Transport Research Society's 10th year Anniversary, Nagoya Conference, 2006, September 2007, Pages 299-310
Abstract:
This paper uses a Delphi panel of 26 air transport experts to forecast the
structure of air transport in the EU in 2015 in respect of network carriers, low
cost airlines and passenger behaviour. Secondary research was used to construct
a number of scenarios about the future structure and strategy of EU network and
low cost airlines and also traveller behaviour. Consensus of opinions was sought
amongst the panel in a two-round process. The consensus opinion of the Delphi
experts was that; network carrier consolidation will reduce EU players to less
than five, there will be only two or three large low cost carriers, Business
Class products will disappear on short hauls. and leisure travellers will take
an increasing number of multiple short-duration holidays.