Assessment of flyby methods as applied to close encounters among asteroids

Orbital flybys have been extensively studied for spacecraft missions, resulting in effective mathematical and physical models. However, these models’ applicability to natural encounters involving asteroids has not been explored. This paper examines the applicability of two such theories, patched conics (PC) and the Keplerian map (KM), to asteroid encounters. A review of the two methods will be provided, highlighting their assumptions and range of applicability. Simulations of asteroid–asteroid encounters will then be performed to evaluate their effectiveness in these scenarios. The simulation parameters are set by collecting data on actual asteroid–asteroid encounters, hereby presented, generally characterised by high close approach distances and small masses of the perturbing bodies, if compared to those used to build the flyby theories. Results show that the PC theory’s effectiveness diminishes with increasing approach distances, aligning with its assumptions. Moreover, the prediction of the model is better in the geometric configurations where the flyby has major effects on the orbital energy change. The KM theory has shown good effectiveness for encounters occurring outside the sphere of influence of the perturbing body, even for very high distances. This research investigates flyby models’ strengths and weaknesses in asteroid encounters, offering practical insights and future directions.