Deriving crop productivity indicators from satellite synthetic aperture radar to assess wheat production at field-scale.

Abstract

The deployment of high-revisit satellite-based radar sensors raises the question of whether the data collected can provide quantitative information to improve agricultural productivity. This thesis aims to develop and test mathematical algorithms to describe the dynamic backscatter of high-resolution Synthetic Aperture Radar (Sentinel-1) in order to describe the development and productivity of wheat at field-scale. A time series of the backscatter ratio (VH/VV), collected over a cropping season, could be characterised by a growth and a senescence logistic curve and related to critical phases of crop development. The curve parameters, referred to as Crop Productivity Indicators (CPIs), compared well with the crop production for three years at the Rothamsted experimental farm. The combination of different parameters (e.g. midpoints of the two curves) helped to define CPIs, such as duration, that significantly (r = 0.61, p = 0.05) correlated with measured yields. Field observations were used to understand the wheat evolution by sampling canopy characteristics across the seasons. The correlation between the samples and the CPIs showed that structural changes, like biomass increase, influence the CPIs during the growth phase, and that declining plant water content was correlated with VH/VV values during maturation. The methodology was upscaled to other farms in Hertfordshire and Norfolk. The ANOVA identified significant effects (p<0.001) of farm management, year (weather conditions) and the interaction between soil type and year on the selected CPIs. Multilinear regression models between yields and selected CPIs displayed promising predictive power (R²= 0.5) across different farms in the same year. However, these models could not explain yield differences within high-yielding farms across seasons because of the dominant effect of weather patterns on the CPIs in each year. The potential impact of the research includes estimation of yield across the landscape, phenology monitoring and indication biophysical parameters. Future work on SAR-derived CPIs should focus on improving the correlations with biophysical properties, applying of the methodology in other crops, with different soils and climates.