UK Foot and Mouth disease: a systemic risk assessment of existing controls

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dc.contributor.author Pollard, Simon J. T.
dc.contributor.author Prpich, George
dc.contributor.author Longhurst, Philip J.
dc.date.accessioned 2017-02-17T16:42:48Z
dc.date.available 2017-02-17T16:42:48Z
dc.date.issued 2016-11-10
dc.identifier.citation Delgado J, Pollard S, Pearn K, et al., U.K. Foot and Mouth disease: a systemic risk assessment of existing controls. Risk Analysis, Volume 37, Issue 9, September 2017, pp. 1768-1782 en_UK
dc.identifier.issn 1539-6924
dc.identifier.uri http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/risa.12704
dc.identifier.uri http://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/11464
dc.description.abstract This article details a systemic analysis of the controls in place and possible interventions available to further reduce the risk of a foot and mouth disease (FMD) outbreak in the United Kingdom. Using a research-based network analysis tool, we identify vulnerabilities within the multibarrier control system and their corresponding critical control points (CCPs). CCPs represent opportunities for active intervention that produce the greatest improvement to United Kingdom's resilience to future FMD outbreaks. Using an adapted ‘features, events, and processes’ (FEPs) methodology and network analysis, our results suggest that movements of animals and goods associated with legal activities significantly influence the system's behavior due to their higher frequency and ability to combine and create scenarios of exposure similar in origin to the U.K. FMD outbreaks of 1967/8 and 2001. The systemic risk assessment highlights areas outside of disease control that are relevant to disease spread. Further, it proves to be a powerful tool for demonstrating the need for implementing disease controls that have not previously been part of the system. en_UK
dc.language.iso en en_UK
dc.publisher Wiley en_UK
dc.rights Attribution 4.0 International
dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subject Disease en_UK
dc.subject FMD en_UK
dc.subject Foot en_UK
dc.subject Mouth en_UK
dc.subject Network en_UK
dc.subject Risk en_UK
dc.subject Systemic en_UK
dc.title UK Foot and Mouth disease: a systemic risk assessment of existing controls en_UK
dc.type Article en_UK
dc.identifier.cris 18927758


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