Browsing by Author "Fichtinger, Johannes"
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Item Open Access Demand forecasting for supply processes in consideration of pricing and market information(Elsevier Science B.V., Amsterdam., 2009-03-01T00:00:00Z) Reiner, Gerald; Fichtinger, JohannesWe develop a dynamic model that can be used to evaluate supply chain process improvements, e.g. different forecast methods. In particular we use for evaluation a bullwhip effect measure, the service level (fill rate) and the average on hold inventory. We define and apply a robustness criterion to enable the comparison of different process alternatives, i.e. the range of observation periods above a certain service level. This criterion can help managers to reduce risks and furthermore variability by applying robust process improvements. Furthermore we are able to demonstrate with our research results that the bullwhip effect is an important but not the only performance measure that should be used to evaluate process improvements.Item Open Access Managing variability in ocean shipping(Mcb, 2013-07-31T00:00:00Z) Harrison, Alan; Fichtinger, JohannesPurpose – The paper aims to explore the relationship between time-related variables in global ocean transportation networks (GOTNs) and the shipper's inventory management performance. The authors modelled fill rates with daily and weekly sailings, and analysed the impact of variability on these on the shipper's inventory management system.Design/methodology/approach – The authors conducted simulation modelling of the above variables, and supplemented these by means of interviews with executives in a number of liner operators, 3PLs, freight forwarders and a large automotive shipper.Findings – Improvements in variability have different impacts, depending on the source of the variability and the frequency of the shipments. The highest inventory reduction potential arises from a combination of high reliability and improved frequency.Practical implications – The paper demonstrates the potential advantages of reduced variability and improved frequency of sailings. Port-to port (P2P) has been positioned in the context of door-to-door (D2D) supply chain movements.Originality/value – The paper develops clear quantitative analyses of time-based factors in operating GOTNs.