dc.contributor.author |
Delgado, Joao Pedro Correa |
- |
dc.contributor.author |
Pollard, Simon J. T. |
- |
dc.contributor.author |
Snary, E. L. |
- |
dc.contributor.author |
Black, Edgar |
- |
dc.contributor.author |
Prpich, George |
- |
dc.contributor.author |
Longhurst, Philip J. |
- |
dc.date.accessioned |
2014-09-02T04:01:34Z |
|
dc.date.available |
2014-09-02T04:01:34Z |
|
dc.date.issued |
2013-08-31T00:00:00Z |
- |
dc.identifier.citation |
João Delgado, Simon Pollard, Emma Snary, Edgar Black, George Prpich and Phil Longhurst, A systems approach to the policy-level risk assessment of exotic animal diseases: network model and application to classical swine fever, Risk Analysis, Volume 33, Issue 8, Pages 1454–1472, August 2013. |
|
dc.identifier.issn |
0272-4332 |
- |
dc.identifier.uri |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01934.x |
- |
dc.identifier.uri |
http://dspace.lib.cranfield.ac.uk/handle/1826/8665 |
|
dc.description.abstract |
Exotic animal diseases (EADs) are characterized by their capacity to spread global distances, causing impacts on animal health and welfare with significant economic consequences. We offer a critique of current import risk analysis approaches employed in the EAD field, focusing on their capacity to assess complex systems at a policy level. To address the shortcomings identified, we propose a novel method providing a systematic analysis of the likelihood of a disease incursion, developed by reference to the multibarrier system employed for the United Kingdom. We apply the network model to a policy-level risk assessment of classical swine fever (CSF), a notifiable animal disease caused by the CSF virus. In doing so, we document and discuss a sequence of analyses that describe system vulnerabilities and reveal the critical control points (CCPs) for intervention, reducing the likelihood of U.K. pig herds being exposed to the CSF virus. |
en_UK |
dc.publisher |
Blackwell Publishing Ltd |
en_UK |
dc.rights |
The definitive version is available at www3.interscience.wiley.com |
|
dc.subject |
Analysis, classical swine fever, exotic animal disease, import, network, risk, system |
en_UK |
dc.title |
A systems approach to the policy-level risk assessment of exotic animal diseases: network model and application to classical swine fever. |
en_UK |
dc.type |
Article |
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