Browsing by Author "Kok, Kasper"

Browsing by Author "Kok, Kasper"

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  • Advancing the use of scenarios to understand society’s capacity to achieve the 1.5 degree target 
    Pedde, Simona; Kok, Kasper; Hölscher, Katharina; Frantzeskaki, Niki; Holman, Ian P.; Dunford, Rob; Smith, Alison; Jäger, Jill (Elsevier, 2019-04-15)
    With a range of potential pathways to a sustainable future compatible with the Paris Agreement 1.5 °C target, scenario analysis has emerged as a key tool in studies of climate change mitigation and adaptation. A wide range ...
  • Bridging uncertainty concepts across narratives and simulations in environmental scenarios 
    Pedde, Simona; Kok, Kasper; Onigkeit, Janina; Brown, Calum; Holman, Ian P.; Harrison, Paula A. (2018-05-11)
    Uncertainties in our understanding of current and future climate change projections, impacts and vulnerabilities are structured by scientists using scenarios, which are generally in qualitative (narrative) and quantitative ...
  • Combining qualitative and quantitative understanding for exploring cross-sectoral climate change impacts, adaptation and vulnerability in Europe 
    Harrison, Paula A.; Holman, Ian P.; Cojocaru, George; Kok, Kasper; Kontogianni, Areti; Metzger, Marc J.; Gramberger, Marc (Springer, 2013-08-01)
    Climate change will affect all sectors of society and the environment at all scales, ranging from the continental to the national and local. Decision-makers and other interested citizens need to be able to access reliable ...
  • New European socio-economic scenarios for climate change research: operationalising concepts to extend the shared socio-economic pathways 
    Kok, Kasper; Pedde, Simona; Gramberger, Marc; Harrison, Paula A.; Holman, Ian P. (Springer, 2018-08-29)
    Scenarios have been recognised as a useful tool for planning, which have resulted in a strong increase in the number of (multi-scale) scenarios in climate change research. This paper addresses the need for methodological ...
  • A protocol to develop shared socio-economic pathways for European agriculture 
    Mitter, Hermine; Techen, Anja-K.; Sinabell, Franz; Helming, Katharina; Kok, Kasper; Priess, Jörg A.; Schmid, Erwin; Bodirsky, Benjamin L.; Holman, Ian P.; Lehtonen, Heikki; Leip, Adrian; Le Mouël, Chantal; Mathijs, Erik; Mehdi, Bano; Michetti, Melania; Mittenzwei, Klaus; Mora, Olivier; Øygarden, Lillian; Schönhart, Martin; Reidsma, Pytrik; Schaldach, Rüdiger (Elsevier, 2019-10-16)
    Moving towards a more sustainable future requires concerted actions, particularly in the context of global climate change. Integrated assessments of agricultural systems (IAAS) are considered valuable tools to provide sound ...
  • Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture and food systems: the Eur-Agri-SSPs 
    Mitter, Hermine; Techen, Anja-K.; Sinabell, Franz; Helming, Katharina; Schmid, Erwin; Bodirsky, Benjamin L.; Holman, Ian P.; Kok, Kasper; Lehtonen, Heikki; Leip, Adrian; Le Mouël, Chantal; Mathijs, Erik; Mehdi, Bano; Mittenzwei, Klaus; Mora, Olivier; Øistad, Knut; Øygarden, Lillian; Priess, Jörg A.; Schönhart, Martin (Elsevier, 2020-09-19)
    Scenarios describe plausible and internally consistent views of the future. They can be used by scientists, policymakers and entrepreneurs to explore the challenges of global environmental change given an appropriate level ...
  • Synthesizing plausible futures for biodiversity and ecosystem services in Europe and Central Asia using scenario archetypes 
    Harrison, Paula A.; Harmáčková, Zuzana V.; Karabulut, Armağan Aloe; Brotons, Lluis; Cantele, Matthew; Claudet, Joachim; Dunford, Robert W.; Guisan, Antoine; Holman, Ian P.; Jacobs, Sander; Kok, Kasper; Lobanova, Anastasia; Morán-Ordóñez, Alejandra; Pedde, Simona; Rixen, Christian; Santos-Martín, Fernando; Schlaepfer, Martin A.; Solidoro, Cosimo; Sonrel, Anthony; Hauck, Jennifer (Resilience Alliance, 2019-06-18)
    Scenarios are a useful tool to explore possible futures of social-ecological systems. The number of scenarios has increased dramatically over recent decades, with a large diversity in temporal and spatial scales, purposes, ...
  • Transition pathways to sustainability in greater than 2 C climate futures of Europe 
    Frantzeskaki, Niki; Hölscher, Katharina; Holman, Ian P.; Pedde, Simona; Jaeger, Jill; Kok, Kasper; Harrison, Paula A. (Springer, 2019-02-19)
    The complex challenges arising from climate change that exceeds the +2 °C target (termed ‘high-end climate change’) in Europe require new integrative responses to support transformations to a more sustainable future. We ...