Browsing by Author "Brown, Calum"

Browsing by Author "Brown, Calum"

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  • Achievement of Paris climate goals unlikely due to time lags in the land system 
    Brown, Calum; Alexander, Peter; Arneth, Almut; Holman, Ian P.; Rounsevell, Mark (Nature Publishing Group, 2019-02-18)
    Achieving the Paris Agreement’s aim of limiting average global temperature increases to 1.5 °C requires substantial changes in the land system. However, individual countries’ plans to accomplish these changes remain vague, ...
  • Bridging uncertainty concepts across narratives and simulations in environmental scenarios 
    Pedde, Simona; Kok, Kasper; Onigkeit, Janina; Brown, Calum; Holman, Ian P.; Harrison, Paula A. (2018-05-11)
    Uncertainties in our understanding of current and future climate change projections, impacts and vulnerabilities are structured by scientists using scenarios, which are generally in qualitative (narrative) and quantitative ...
  • Identifying uncertainties in scenarios and models of socio-ecological systems in support of decision-making 
    Rounsevell, Mark D. A.; Arneth, Almut; Brown, Calum; Cheung, William W. L.; Gimenez, Olivier; Holman, Ian P.; Leadley, Paul; Luján, Criscely; Mahevas, Stéphanie; Maréchaux, Isabelle; Pélissier, Raphaël; Verburg, Peter H.; Vieilledent, Ghislain; Wintle, Brendan A.; Shin, Yunne-Jai (Cell Press, 2021-07-23)
    There are many sources of uncertainty in scenarios and models of socio-ecological systems, and understanding these uncertainties is critical in supporting informed decision-making about the management of natural resources. ...
  • Implementing land-based mitigation to achieve the Paris Agreement in Europe requires food system transformation 
    Lee, Heera; Brown, Calum; Seo, Bumsuk; Holman, Ian P.; Audsley, Eric; Cojocaru, George; Rounsevell, Mark (IOP, 2019-10-04)
    Land-based mitigation, particularly through afforestation, reforestation and avoided deforestation, is an important component of the 'Paris Agreement' to limit average global temperature increases to between 1.5 and 2 ◦C. ...
  • Improving the representation of adaptation in climate change impact models 
    Holman, Ian P.; Brown, Calum; Carter, Timothy R.; Harrison, Paula A.; Rounsevell, Mark (Springer, 2018-04-13)
    Climate change adaptation is a complex human process, framed by uncertainties and constraints, which is difficult to capture in existing assessment models. Attempts to improve model representations are hampered by a shortage ...