Probabilistic modelling of geotechnical conditions for offshore wind turbine support structures

The geotechnical conditions of the soil can fluctuate greatly across the wind farm. This is an issue since geotechnical modelling is the base of the structural design of an offshore wind farm, and the efficient installation of the wind turbines depends on its accuracy. This paper deals with the characterization of the seabed, predicting the soil properties over the total affected area by a wind farm, with the challenge to reduce the required data samples in the site investigation under the number of installed wind turbines, to reduce its cost. It is compared the prediction outcome from two different interpolation methods, kriging and radial basis function, assessing their accuracy by the Mean-Squared Error and the Goodness-of-Prediction Estimate, as well as with a visual examination of their mapping; obtaining higher accuracy for radial basis function and reducing to half the required sample points, from the initial value of installed wind turbines. In a second stage it is studied the soil effect over the foundation, analyzing the results from a FEA, where different geometries of the structure are compared submitted to different load cases to check its limit states. Those results show that the foundation cost can increase four times due to the soil conditions, taking into account only the steel volume, and demonstrating how important is the soil characterization in the foundation design, as it gives the chance to relocate those wind turbines that require more expensive foundations.