Further improvement of warming-equivalent emissions calculation

Date

2021-03-19

Supervisor/s

Journal Title

Journal ISSN

Volume Title

Publisher

Nature Research (part of Springer Nature)

Department

Type

Article

ISSN

2397-3722

Format

Free to read from

Citation

Smith MA, Cain M, Allen MR. (2021) Further improvement of warming-equivalent emissions calculation. Climate and Atmospheric Science, Volume 4, March 2021, Article number 19

Abstract

GWP* was recently proposed1 as a simple metric for calculating warming-equivalent emissions by equating a change in the rate of emission of a short-lived climate pollutant (SLCP) to a pulse emission of carbon dioxide. Other metrics aiming to account for the time-dependent impact of SLCP emissions, such as CGWP, have also been proposed2. In 2019 an improvement to GWP* was proposed by Cain et al.3, hereafter CLA, combining both the rate and change in rate of SLCP emission, justified by the rate of forcing decline required to stabilise temperatures following a recent multi-decade emissions increase. Here we provide a more direct justification of the coefficients used in this definition of GWP*, with a small revision to their absolute values, by equating CO2 and SLCP forcing directly, without reference to the temperature response. This provides a more direct link to the impulse-response model used to calculate GWP values and improves consistency with CGWP values.

Description

Software Description

Software Language

Github

Keywords

Atmospheric science, Climate change, Climate and Earth system modelling

DOI

Rights

Attribution 4.0 International

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Relationships

Supplements

Funder/s